JFM's NFL Graphs

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Graphs for the 2011-2012 Season
Includes Week  #17 Games - 1/2/2012

**The Graphs will not be updated throughout the Playoffs

    The numbers on the vertical axis are the Power Ratings.  A moving average analysis is used to create graphs which have smoother curves and which more accurately depicts the actual power rating than any single point could.

     Each number on the horizontal axis represents a new update point.  Updates will occur every Tuesday, after the previous weeks schedule of games has been completed.  In this period, most teams will have played one game.  These numbers don't exactly correspond to the number of games played for each team because in most instances, because of the BYE schedule that the NFL uses.  This inconsistency is another reason why the moving average analysis works best for these graphs.

     Larger adjustments in the ratings are made at the beginning of the season. Expect the ratings to fluctuate quite a bit in the first few weeks.  By the 4th or 5th week, most teams will have found their level and the variations will be smaller, though there will still be small up and down variations about their established average.  Perhaps the best value to reflect a teams power rating would be the average between the most recent high and low points on the graphs for each team.  The trend of the team line, down or up, may be a good predictor of what the team will do in future weeks.

TOP 6

New Orleans Saints
Green Bay Packers
New England Patriots
Pittsburgh Steelers
San Francisco 49ers
Philadelphia Eagles

TOP

29.37
29.22
29.15
25.18
24.93
24.72

NEXT 6

Baltimore Ravens
Houston Texans
Atlanta Falcons
Detroit Lions
New York Giants
San Diego Chargers

TOP

24.18
23.78
23.78
22.65
21.65
21.54

MIDDLE 6

Miami Dolphins
New York Jets
Cincinnati Bengals
Chicago Bears
Seattle Seahawks
Tennessee Titans

TOP

21.47
20.17
19.96
19.76
19.65
19.53

NEXT 7

Oakland Raiders
Dallas Cowboys
Denver Broncos
Carolina Panthers
Arizona Cardinals
Kansas City Chiefs
Cleveland Browns

TOP

19.45
19.33
18.57
18.47
18.14
18.09
15.30

BOTTOM 7

Jacksonville Jaguars
Washington Redskins
Buffalo Bills
Minnesota Vikings
Indianapolis Colts
Tampa Bay Bucs
St Louis Rams

TOP

15.16
14.70
13.96
13.23
13.15
11.40
10.38

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